Nature markets are emerging markets

Units, insights, parameters, and beginning with the end in mind

This is a bricolage protocol; which means we are building it in public! Some pages are under construction — but check back soon its updating fast!

To measure ecosystems for financial markets, we must first negotiate paradigms between Nature (best represented in Indigenous sciences) and financial markets (one of our most optimized induss

Humanity is only beginning to understand and value the limits of growth (Strauss 2012). Our economic sciences operated under the assumptions that the commons had no owner, no regulation, and no limit (Hardin 1968). Now valuing natural commons, the associated risks of its destruction to a nation, a planet, and its food supply, are completely unoptimized processes and science (Constanza et al. 1997). Full of human hubris, errors of cognitive horizon, and, like any emerging market, rife with speculation and misrepresentation (Taleb 2007).

Ironically, one of the world's most optimized markets is agriculture, transacted as a commodity. Perhaps the planet’s least optimized one is planetary sciences, which should be tangible but transacts in assets, commodities, charities, greenwashing claims, and fiat and blockchain Over-the-counter (OTC) exchanges with wide heterogeneity and enthusiastic grassroots abandon. The collision of the two is a source of unending confusion for anyone who works in either of them these days.

Early markets typically go through a predictable cycle, called the Gartner Hype Cycle. A period of heightened expectations, followed by disillusionment, then standardization (Fig. 2).

Figure 2. Phases of the Gartner-Hype cycle. Reproduced from https://www.gartner.com/en/documents/4017574

Savimbo was born from a consulting group specializing in frontier markets, hard science, and high-tech bubbles. As such, we know from years of experience in several frontier markets that the way to survive the ups and downs is to keep focused on tangibility, value, standardization, and interoperability.