# Risks and uncertainty Indicator species are assumed to be impermanent in their very nature. And we acknowledge we are working in a complex, chaotic system. Thus under the ISBM methodology, credits are issued based on achieved outcomes alone and leakage (if relevant) is implemented at the program level ([Project areas](/project-description/project-boundaries.md) and [Monitoring plan](/monitoring-plan.md)). However, the PMP should include a pragmatic assessment of risk and sources of uncertainty in project metrics. It is recommended to acknowledge at least the following sources of uncertainty: * **Uncertainty in the calculation process**: Probability of making errors in data entry, calculation, or interpretation of results. * **Implementation uncertainty**: Project execution always involves some risk in terms of the ability of the team to carry out the program. Projects may encounter unforeseen obstacles, staffing problems, or other types of project management issues. * **Technical monitoring device uncertainty**: how accurate is your chosen methods and what error do they produce? * **Biodiversity science uncertainty:** Biodiversity science is an evolving field, and projects often rely on external sources and incomplete science for indicator species selection, ecosystem classification, and the ability of the species to represent the ecosystem. * **Risks in natural disturbances** (eg. forest fires, hurricanes, earthquakes, volcanic eruptions, floods, and droughts) * **Risks of human-induced events** (e.g. fires, acts of terrorism, and war). --- # Agent Instructions: Querying This Documentation If you need additional information that is not directly available in this page, you can query the documentation dynamically by asking a question. Perform an HTTP GET request on the current page URL with the `ask` query parameter: ``` GET https://sexytrees.savimbo.com/project-description/implementation-plan/risks-and-uncertainty.md?ask= ``` The question should be specific, self-contained, and written in natural language. The response will contain a direct answer to the question and relevant excerpts and sources from the documentation. Use this mechanism when the answer is not explicitly present in the current page, you need clarification or additional context, or you want to retrieve related documentation sections.